Yet Trump is also pushing for policy changes that could have a powerful
impact on the economy both positive and negative. The Republican
tax-cut plan he backs would boost corporate profits and stock values, if
it passes.
Trump has been rolling back regulations, another move that’s
good for businesses. Some analysts think such moves have already goosed
stock prices, partly because of real changes and party because of
expected ones.
Trump is also pushing some
changes that might spook markets and depress hiring – most notably,
revisions to the North American Free Trade Agreements. Trump has
threatened to withdraw completely from NAFTA if Canada and Mexico don’t
offer major concessions. So far, his bark has been worse than his bite,
but corporate executives familiar with ongoing negotiations say they’re
worried.
By the middle of 2018, Trump policies should
have a more direct impact on the economy. By then, we’ll know whether
Republicans who control Congress are able to pass tax cuts. The fate of
NAFTA will be clearer, as well. Then will come the 2018 midterm
elections, which will be a referendum of sorts on how Americans feel
about the Trump economy. For the time being, it is one thing Trump has
going for him.
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